The maths
RTP, the probability of a multiplier and the expected value of a cash-out.
Updated . 4 guides.
- Why you cannot beat a crash game in the long run: the edge, the martingale and ruin
No cash-out target or betting system removes the 3% edge of a 97% RTP crash game. Martingale maths, a bankroll ruin table and variance vs expectation.
Updated
- The probability of reaching any multiplier in a crash game
Under the standard crash model the chance of reaching multiplier m is RTP divided by m. At 97% RTP: 2x in 48.5% of rounds, 10x in 9.7%, 100x in 0.97%.
Updated
- Crash game RTP of 97%: what it means for your stakes
Spribe states Aviator's RTP is 97%: about KES 97 back per KES 100 staked over a very long run, a 3% house edge. One session can land far from that.
Updated
- Auto cash-out in crash games: why every target has the same expected value
Every auto cash-out target in Aviator returns about 97% of the stake on average. Low targets change how often you win, never the 3% loss.
Updated